Summary
Highlights
The presenter reflects on 2025, noting major stock gains and one significant loss. The focus shifts to 2026 predictions for these stocks, emphasizing honesty about investment successes and failures, as even top investors like Warren Buffett experience losses. The discussion will cover buy alerts for full members, excluding the $250 portfolio challenge.
SoFi is highlighted as a major winner with a 300% return from an average buy price of $9, reaching $27. The presenter attributes this success to Wall Street's initial undervaluation. For 2026, SoFi is expected to continue its strong performance, with management indicating 2026 and 2027 as critical growth years, despite common negative narratives.
Google was a heavily bought stock due to perceived undervaluation. The presenter's average buy price was $172, now at $238, representing almost a 100% gain in a mega-cap stock within months. This success is attributed to ignoring false narratives about Google losing the AI race. For 2026, while continued success is expected, the stock is back at fair value, so a more modest 15-20% return is anticipated.
Amazon, bought at an average of $200 per share and now at $227, yielded a 13-14% gain. Despite good performance, Amazon hasn't seen the rapid growth of Google. The presenter believes Amazon could be the next Google in 2026, offering 'easy money' in the mega-cap space due to its current undervaluation driven by unrepresentative Wall Street narratives, despite strong fundamentals.
The presenter explains that the stock market is inherently rigged to go up over time. The strategy allows a few big winners to compensate for multiple smaller losses. An example illustrates how two stocks tripling could outweigh one stock going to zero, highlighting the importance of letting winners run. While not aiming for many losers, having them is a natural part of investing.
PayPal was the biggest loser, with buys averaging $67, now down 5% at $60. The stock is described as frustrating due to strong fundamentals not translating into stock price increases over several years. The presenter is cautiously optimistic for 2026, hoping the stock price will eventually catch up to its improving fundamentals, but acknowledges the ongoing pessimism.
Investing involves uncertainty; no one can perfectly predict winners. The focus should be on making the best assessments, not playing the 'what if' game. The presenter encourages viewers to join their investment group, highlighting a New Year's sale ending soon. The group offers buy/sell alerts, free courses, coaching, and a community of investors aiming to improve investment skills.