Трамп смотает удочки из Ирана. Помощь Украине будет восстановлена после выборов в Конгресс в ноябре.

The discussion begins by highlighting Donald Trump's contradictory statements regarding the conflict with Iran, where he simultaneously declares victory and calls for international naval forces to secure the Strait of Hormuz. The speakers question how Americans, especially Trump's supporters, reconcile these opposing narratives and actions, illustrating a chaotic and unpredictable foreign policy lacking clear objectives or plans.

Yury Rashkin describes the ongoing chaos under Trump's presidency, noting that the disarray in policy and lack of coordination with allies is becoming a recognizable pattern. He mentions the discomfort among Americans and a growing sense of media suppression, with threats against broadcasters. The public is receiving less information, leading many to seek alternative sources for understanding complex situations like the Strait of Hormuz.

The conversation shifts to Trump's potential timetable for disengaging from Iran, suggesting he might aim for a quick 'victory' to bolster his standing before upcoming meetings, particularly with Xi Jinping. The speakers emphasize that Trump's primary goal is deal-making and 'bablocracy' rather than regime change. They express concern that his unpredictable actions could lead to a drawn-out and unpopular war, drawing parallels to Putin's prolonged conflicts.

The discussion pivots to US domestic politics, focusing on the failure of a Republican bill aimed at restricting voting rights due to resistance from Republican senators. It also touches on the crowded field of Democratic presidential hopefuls, including Gavin Newsom, JB Pritzker, and Josh Shapiro, and the Democratic party's pragmatic approach to selecting candidates who can win elections, contrasting with the ideological focus of some Republicans.

Local election results show a trend of Democratic victories, even in traditionally Republican areas, giving the party renewed hope. The speakers also discuss the situation of Marjorie Taylor Greene's district, highlighting Trump's continued influence in Republican primaries despite her disagreements with him. The conversation addresses the possibility of Republican candidates distancing themselves from Trump in general elections to appeal to independent voters.

Experts suggest that if Republicans lose control of the House in November, there's a strong possibility that congressional support for Ukraine, including sanctions against Russia, could be restored. This scenario is seen as a way to circumvent Trump's pro-Putin stance, with a new House Speaker potentially bringing aid packages to a vote. The bipartisan support for Ukraine within Congress is noted, even amidst Trump's influence.

A comparison is drawn between Putin's loyalty to his inner circle and Trump's transactional approach, where he might 'sell out' anyone for personal gain. The speakers speculate that Putin's regime is vulnerable to internal threats due to its subjective and personal nature, unlike the institutional checks and balances that challenge Trump in the US.

The recent internet disruptions in Moscow are discussed, linking them to Putin's growing paranoia and desire to control information, mirroring similar issues in other Russian cities. This move is interpreted as a reaction to Ukrainian attacks on Russian territory and fear of internal dissent. The impact on Russian propaganda and mobilization efforts is highlighted, suggesting that such restrictions could inadvertently weaken the regime.