Oct/Nov 2022 WMA13 (Q5)

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Summary

This video provides a detailed solution to Question 5 from the October/November 2022 WMA13 exam. The question involves analyzing a company's profit function over time, proving certain profit/loss scenarios, and using iterative formulas to find the exact time when the company starts making a profit.

Highlights

Part A: Proving Initial Loss
00:00:01

The video starts by introducing Question 5, which involves a company's profit (P million) at time T years. Part A requires proving that one year after trading, the company made a loss of approximately £830,000. This is done by substituting T=1 into the given profit equation and showing that the result is a negative value close to -0.83 million, confirming the loss.

Part B: Proving Profitability Between 6 and 7 Years
00:02:06

Part B asks to show that the value of T for which P=0 (break-even point) occurs between 6 and 7 years. This is demonstrated by evaluating the profit function at T=6 and T=7. A negative profit at T=6 and a positive profit at T=7 indicate a sign change, confirming that the profit crosses zero within this interval, implying the company starts making a profit between its sixth and seventh year of trading.

Part C: Rewriting the Equation
00:04:53

Part C focuses on rewriting the equation P=0 into a specific iterative form: T = 1/4 + 15/8 Ln((2T+1)^2 / (T+1)). The presenter meticulously rearranges the original profit function, applying logarithm laws and algebraic manipulation to isolate T, thereby deriving the desired iterative formula.

Part D: Using the Iterative Formula
00:08:01

In Part D, the iterative formula derived in Part C is used with an initial value of T1 = 6 to find T2 and T6 to three decimal places. The presenter explains how to use a calculator to compute T2 and then efficiently generate subsequent iterations (T3, T4, T5, T6) without re-entering the entire formula. T2 is found to be 6.220 and T6 is 6.314.

Part E: Calculating Total Months to Profit
00:10:44

Part E asks for the total number of months it takes for the company to start making a profit, according to the model. The stabilized value of T from the iterative process (T6 = 6.314) represents the number of years when the profit becomes zero. To convert this to months, the value is multiplied by 12, yielding 75.768 months. Rounding up, the company starts making a profit from the 76th month onwards.

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