3 Hawkish Dissents & The $90 Oil SHOCK!

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Summary

Mark Malk discusses the volatile week in markets, focusing on Big Tech earnings, the split Fed decision, rising energy costs, and the need for companies to prove AI investments are generating actual cash flow.

Highlights

Market Themes of the Week
00:00:22

The week featured high volatility driven by AI earnings, a divided Federal Reserve decision, and rising oil prices above $90 per barrel due to geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.

Big Tech Earnings and AI Performance
00:04:02

A clear divide emerged between Big Tech companies: Microsoft and Amazon saw gains by proving their AI spending is generating revenue, while Meta and Apple faced market punishment for lacking concrete proof of AI-driven success.

Economic Data Analysis
00:08:03

Second-quarter GDP growth slowed to 1.5%, though underlying demand remained strong. Meanwhile, PCE inflation remains nearly double the Fed's 2% target, justifying the hawkish dissent among Fed officials.

Looking Ahead
00:10:06

The upcoming week includes crucial economic releases, such as ISM manufacturing data and the monthly non-farm payroll report, which will influence future interest rate expectations.

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