Summary
Highlights
Brian Shields introduces the forecast for June 2026, highlighting a coming heat surge with above-average temperatures and changes in precipitation patterns across Europe. He emphasizes tracking the storm pattern to understand the weather for the next three weeks, noting that the main storm track will generally be to the north.
For the immediate term (Saturday to Monday), some areas like Ireland and parts of France will experience cooler, below-average temperatures, while heat begins to build in regions like Hungary and Romania. Temperatures will generally be average for most areas over the next few days.
Shields provides a week-by-week temperature outlook for June. Week two shows below-average temperatures in Ireland, parts of France, and parts of the Alps, and above-average temperatures in Italy, Spain, and Greece. By week three, the heat builds significantly, with most areas experiencing above-average temperatures. By the end of June, almost all of Europe will be above average, with potential for a slight drop in early July.
The precipitation forecast for the next 30 days indicates above-average rain in northern areas like Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, and Scotland, with some spots receiving 50-100mm above average. Conversely, southeastern Europe, including Italy, will run below average by at least 20mm, leading to drier conditions.
Looking at the weekend and into the next working week, the storm track will bring rain to Iceland, Ireland, and extend towards northern Germany and Denmark. By Tuesday, heavier rain is expected in northern Poland, Norway, and Sweden. Eastern Europe, including Ukraine and Romania, will also see scattered storms, while drier conditions prevail in Portugal, Spain, and France.
Shields warns of potential strong to severe storms around Tuesday in areas like Slovakia, Poland, and Turkey. He also highlights air quality concerns late in the week due to a surge of dust from the south. The 5-day rain totals show significant amounts (up to 100mm) in Scotland, Sweden, Norway, Estonia, and Ukraine, while drier conditions are expected in areas like Italy, Spain, and France.
In conclusion, June temperatures will continue to be above average for most of Europe. Drought concerns will be monitored, especially with an anticipated hotter-than-average summer enhanced by El Niño. A potential drop in temperatures and a change in the split weather pattern are expected in early July, which will be updated in future videos.